Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 4.174982 4.485876 4.819034 5.204395 5.640131 6.120261 6.693086
2025-06-15 3.712288 4.152364 4.655510 5.280789 6.047840 6.973125 8.198028
2025-06-22 3.301065 3.781562 4.352891 5.095770 6.057445 7.292841 9.059043
2025-06-29 3.025641 3.528464 4.144375 4.973969 6.095408 7.613887 9.936533
2025-07-06 2.818484 3.334331 3.981624 4.879377 6.138543 7.924340 10.830861
2025-07-13 2.675018 3.205816 3.886667 4.856972 6.266457 8.358226 11.985600
2025-07-20 2.592625 3.147664 3.875622 4.942543 6.550811 9.058438 13.732418
2025-07-27 2.530154 3.109533 3.885615 5.054284 6.881637 9.878374 15.913818
2025-08-03 2.442244 3.030236 3.831041 5.063345 7.048752 10.446078 17.772677
2025-08-10 2.339457 2.924017 3.730423 4.992554 7.075050 10.764272 19.196654
2025-08-17 2.227612 2.799295 3.595469 4.857494 6.977804 10.836182 20.075302
2025-08-24 2.142010 2.707326 3.502718 4.780970 6.971589 11.079305 21.458408
2025-08-31 2.082024 2.651924 3.464853 4.795932 7.140381 11.726639 24.269077
2025-09-07 2.038106 2.617838 3.457277 4.860460 7.409279 12.646153 28.428077
2025-09-14 1.941123 2.502020 3.319314 4.697503 7.234323 12.560264 29.344161
2025-09-21 1.864683 2.413247 3.218425 4.590130 7.154730 12.679690 31.077994
2025-09-28 1.799424 2.338291 3.135072 4.506630 7.112317 12.878794 33.261755
2025-10-05 1.753235 2.289808 3.090496 4.486837 7.194035 13.397350 37.168910
2025-10-12 1.731193 2.276422 3.100148 4.562401 7.478267 14.498816 44.911821
2025-10-19 1.715090 2.271116 3.122011 4.660938 7.823516 15.866723 56.266464
2025-10-26 1.681291 2.237250 3.095710 4.668922 7.972628 16.722275 66.241194
2025-11-02 1.635500 2.183229 3.033946 4.606520 7.956663 17.076719 73.358359
2025-11-09 1.581051 2.114141 2.944731 4.487298 7.799293 16.953282 76.333009